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TP-47 vs GBK Kokkola

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2025 Pohjan Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TP-47 play GBK Kokkola in the Kakkonen Group C 2025. GBK Kokkola are favorites here. Recently, TP-47 averaged 2.11 goals scored and 2.79 conceded. GBK Kokkola averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, TP-47 won 1, GBK Kokkola won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for TP-47 and 1.00 for GBK Kokkola. This points to a GBK Kokkola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
TP-47
25%
Draws
60%
GBK Kokkola
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: GBK Kokkola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • TP-47 picked up more points recently compared to GBK Kokkola.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
TP-47 Clean Sheet 23%
GBK Kokkola Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TP-47 GBK Kokkola
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.11 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs GBK Kokkola
3:4
Apr 25, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
GBK Kokkola vs TP-47
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs GBK Kokkola
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs GBK Kokkola
2:3
Jun 15, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
GBK Kokkola vs TP-47
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TP-47 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gullsten A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

GBK Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerblom V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TP-47 18 / 100
GBK Kokkola 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TP-47 GBK Kokkola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GBK Kokkola Win (2)
Secondary Pick GBK Kokkola & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TP-47 attacking → ← attacking GBK Kokkola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TP-47 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

GBK Kokkola let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

TP-47 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

GBK Kokkola lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 55
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1VPS 221143472:2445
2GBK Kokkola21134447:3543
3JBK21132638:2741
4OsPa21102956:4632
5TP-472194844:6831
6SJK Akatemia 221901256:5227