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Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TPS host Ilves in the Veikkausliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: TPS at 0.88 goals for, 1.38 against; Ilves at 2.38 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, TPS have won 0 to Ilves's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.88, favoring Ilves. Ilves in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

TPS

28%

Draws

22%

Ilves

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

TPS has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ilves.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for TPS.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Veikkausliiga provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

TPS Clean Sheet 10%

Ilves Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TPS	Ilves
Matches Played	34	29
Wins	14	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.88	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga

Ilves vs TPS

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 27, 2026 Suomen Cup

Ilves vs TPS

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Apr 26, 2023 Suomen Cup

TPS vs Ilves

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly

Ilves vs TPS

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Jan 15, 2021 Club Friendly

TPS vs Ilves

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

1:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 47 / 100

Ilves 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TPS Ilves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPS scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Ilves let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

TPS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ilves lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS Ilves

0.88 Goals Scored 2.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27:15	30
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23:12	30
3	VPS	15	7	6	2	22:11	27
4	AC Oulu	15	8	2	5	20:18	26
5	HJK	15	6	4	5	25:19	22
6	Gnistan	15	6	4	5	23:20	22
7	TPS	15	6	4	5	19:16	22
8	Lahti	15	5	4	6	18:15	19
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25:29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18:23	14
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15:32	11
12	Mariehamn	15	0	4	11	8:33	4