Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TPS vs Inter Turku

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion, Turku
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPS host Inter Turku in the Veikkausliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. TPS have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Inter Turku's 1.71 scored and 0.85 conceded. Past meetings favor Inter Turku slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Inter Turku. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
TPS
30%
Draws
43%
Inter Turku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Turku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Turku come out ahead of TPS on wins alone.
  • Model gives TPS a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Turku have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
TPS Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Turku Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS Inter Turku
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 20
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.27 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs TPS
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liiga Cup
TPS vs Inter Turku
0:3
Jul 3, 2024 Suomen Cup
Inter Turku vs TPS
3:2
Oct 22, 2020 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs TPS
3:0
Aug 22, 2020 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs Inter Turku
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 42 / 100
Inter Turku 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS Inter Turku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TPS scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Inter Turku has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

TPS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS Inter Turku
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS

(Home)
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
TPS
01 Aug
TPS
3 : 0
Mariehamn
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0
TPS
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3
Ilves
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Inter Turku

(Away)
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0
Lahti
06 Aug
Inter Turku
2 : 1
Vaduz
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 20 12 7 1 36:18 43
2 Inter Turku 20 10 8 2 28:16 38
3 HJK 20 10 4 6 32:23 34
4 Gnistan 20 9 5 6 32:26 32
5 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
6 AC Oulu 20 9 3 8 24:25 30
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 20 7 5 8 23:18 26
9 Ilves 20 7 4 9 33:34 25
10 SJK 20 4 6 10 24:31 18
11 Jaro 20 3 6 11 18:41 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)