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TPS vs Jaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion, Turku
TPS Logo

TPS

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Jaro Logo

Jaro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TPS host Jaro in the Veikkausliiga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Jaro have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while TPS have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, TPS have won 3 to Jaro's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.69, favoring TPS. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
TPS
35%
Draws
26%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TPS lately — more wins on the board than Jaro.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
TPS Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS Jaro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs Jaro
3:2
May 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs TPS
2:2
Oct 3, 2024 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Jaro
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Jaro vs TPS
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Jaro
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 31 / 100
Jaro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: TPS scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

TPS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS Jaro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS

(Home)
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 6

Jaro

(Away)
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Lahti 25 10 6 9 30:24 36
8 Ilves 25 10 4 11 42:38 34
9 TPS 25 8 8 9 28:27 32
10 SJK 25 5 9 11 28:35 24
11 Mariehamn 25 4 5 16 20:47 17
12 Jaro 25 3 8 14 20:48 17
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)