Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TPS vs KuPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion, Turku
TPS Logo

TPS

1 - 2
FT
KuPS Logo

KuPS

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Hamalainen T.
29' Event
Ruoppi O.
Assist: Heiskanen S.
46'
Sub
Vauhkonen E. In: Ivanovic L.
Out: Vauhkonen E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between TPS and KuPS finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
TPS
30%
Draws
37%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • KuPS's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what TPS have produced (1.31).
  • Win probability leans TPS's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TPS Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS KuPS
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs TPS
1:1
Jun 17, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs KuPS
1:2
Nov 4, 2020 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs KuPS
3:2
Aug 29, 2020 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs TPS
3:1
Oct 21, 2018 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs TPS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruoppi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 40 / 100
KuPS 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

TPS's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: KuPS conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

TPS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS KuPS
1.57 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS

(Home)
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
TPS
01 Aug
TPS
3 : 0
Mariehamn
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0
TPS
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

KuPS

(Away)
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
13 Aug
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
KuPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
TPS
06 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
Univ. Craiova
01 Aug
Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 20 12 7 1 36:18 43
2 Inter Turku 20 10 8 2 28:16 38
3 HJK 20 10 4 6 32:23 34
4 Gnistan 20 9 5 6 32:26 32
5 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
6 AC Oulu 20 9 3 8 24:25 30
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 20 7 5 8 23:18 26
9 Ilves 20 7 4 9 33:34 25
10 SJK 20 4 6 10 24:31 18
11 Jaro 20 3 6 11 18:41 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)