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TPS vs PS Kemi

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga 2018 Veritas Stadion, Turku
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Yateke S.
17' Event
Yateke S.
Assist: Aaritalo M.
21' Event
Sevcenco V.
Assist: Moilanen V.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga 2018 game between TPS and PS Kemi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
TPS
30%
Draws
47%
PS Kemi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PS Kemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • TPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans PS Kemi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
TPS Clean Sheet 22%
PS Kemi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS PS Kemi
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.34 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2018 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs PS Kemi
4:1
Jul 7, 2018 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs PS Kemi
3:2
May 13, 2018 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs TPS
2:2
Sep 5, 2015 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs PS Kemi
1:1
Jul 5, 2015 Ykkosliiga
PS Kemi vs TPS
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Yateke S.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

PS Kemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sevcenco V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 29 / 100
PS Kemi 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS PS Kemi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Kemi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PS Kemi let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: TPS scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: TPS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS

(Home)
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0
Inter Turku
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PS Kemi

(Away)
27 Oct
Lahti
1 : 2
PS Kemi
21 Oct
PS Kemi
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Oct
PS Kemi
0 : 2
Inter Turku
29 Sept
Ilves
4 : 0
PS Kemi
22 Sept
PS Kemi
0 : 2
VPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK 33 24 6 3 61:19 78
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 33 18 8 7 42:25 62
3 KuPS 33 17 7 9 56:37 58
4 Honka 33 15 13 5 51:33 58
5 Ilves 33 14 7 12 45:41 49
6 VPS 33 10 11 12 37:43 41
7 Inter Turku 33 10 10 13 37:44 40
8 Lahti 33 9 13 11 30:38 40
9 SJK 33 8 8 17 28:37 32
10 Mariehamn 33 8 7 18 37:59 31
11 TPS 33 7 8 18 37:55 29
12 PS Kemi 33 6 6 21 29:59 24
Relegation - Ykkonen 2018 (Promotion)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)