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TPS W vs HJK Akatemia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jarnstrom M.
6' Event
Ignatov A.
26' Event
Eskola M.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Ykkonen Women game between TPS W and HJK Akatemia W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
TPS W
15%
Draws
32%
HJK Akatemia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TPS W come out ahead of HJK Akatemia W on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on TPS W taking it.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
TPS W Clean Sheet 16%
HJK Akatemia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W HJK Akatemia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs TPS W
2:3
Aug 12, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs HJK Akatemia W
3:1
Jun 24, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs TPS W
4:1
Mar 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs HJK Akatemia W
1:1
Jun 4, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs HJK Akatemia W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarnstrom M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ignatov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

HJK Akatemia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eskola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 57 / 100
HJK Akatemia W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W HJK Akatemia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK Akatemia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

TPS W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: TPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS HJK Akatemia W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
05 Oct
TPS W
3 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
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HJK Akatemia W

(Away)
04 Oct
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 3
ONS Oulu W
28 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
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