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TPS W vs HJK Akatemia W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Brandt E.
87' Event
Pienimaki I.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Ykkonen Women game between TPS W and HJK Akatemia W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
TPS W
17%
Draws
70%
HJK Akatemia W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: HJK Akatemia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • HJK Akatemia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • HJK Akatemia W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK Akatemia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W HJK Akatemia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs TPS W
4:1
Mar 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs HJK Akatemia W
1:1
Jun 4, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs HJK Akatemia W
1:0
May 9, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs TPS W
5:2
Oct 11, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs TPS W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pienimaki I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

HJK Akatemia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandt E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 14 / 100
HJK Akatemia W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W HJK Akatemia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK Akatemia W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

TPS W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

TPS W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS HJK Akatemia W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EBK W16123144:1039
2Honka W1693426:1330
3HJK Akatemia W1683534:2427
4HJS W1682632:2526
5JyPK W1681731:2625
6ONS Oulu W1672724:2223
7Keski-Uusimaa W1661925:3219
8KTP W16501121:4815
9TPS W1626817:3512
10Lahti W16331023:4212