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TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Xiang Q.
14' Event
Jarnstrom M.
27' Event
Xiang Q.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
TPS W
44%
Draws
20%
Keski-Uusimaa W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keski-Uusimaa W lately — more wins on the board than TPS W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TPS W Clean Sheet 20%
Keski-Uusimaa W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W Keski-Uusimaa W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
2:2
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
3:1
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
4:2
Jul 5, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarnstrom M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Keski-Uusimaa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Xiang Q.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 36 / 100
Keski-Uusimaa W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W Keski-Uusimaa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

TPS W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Keski-Uusimaa W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

TPS W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS Keski-Uusimaa W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
TPS W
1 : 0
KTP W
19 Jul
TPS W
2 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa W
12 Jul
Lahti W
1 : 1
TPS W
02 Jul
TPS W
1 : 5
JyPK W
28 Jun
HJS W
2 : 3
TPS W
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Keski-Uusimaa W

(Away)
25 Jul
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 4
EBK W
19 Jul
TPS W
2 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa W
09 Jul
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
04 Jul
KTP W
2 : 3
Keski-Uusimaa W
30 Jun
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EBK W18143149:1345
2Honka W18104427:1334
3HJS W1893637:2730
4JyPK W1892735:2729
5HJK Akatemia W1884637:3028
6ONS Oulu W1874724:2225
7Keski-Uusimaa W18621030:3820
8TPS W1837820:3716
9KTP W18501321:5015
10Lahti W18331223:4612
Promotion - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)