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TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Xiang Q.
14' Event
Jarnstrom M.
27' Event
Xiang Q.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
TPS W
20%
Draws
45%
Keski-Uusimaa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TPS W lately — more wins on the board than Keski-Uusimaa W.
  • Win probability leans Keski-Uusimaa W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
TPS W Clean Sheet 20%
Keski-Uusimaa W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W Keski-Uusimaa W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
2:3
Jul 19, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
2:2
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
3:1
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarnstrom M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Keski-Uusimaa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Xiang Q.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 10 / 100
Keski-Uusimaa W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W Keski-Uusimaa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keski-Uusimaa W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

TPS W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

TPS W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS Keski-Uusimaa W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
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Keski-Uusimaa W

(Away)
28 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
29 Aug
ONS Oulu W
1 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
24 Aug
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 5
Keski-Uusimaa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)