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TPS W vs KTP W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
3 - 3
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Jaakkola P.
49' Event
Mattsson L.
75' Event
Eriksson A.

AI Match Summary

TPS W host KTP W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. TPS W are expected to control this from the start. TPS W have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.82 conceded recently, against KTP W's 1.21 scored and 2.72 conceded. Head-to-head, TPS W have won 2 to KTP W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (2.56 - 1.56) back TPS W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
TPS W
15%
Draws
0%
KTP W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TPS W come out ahead of KTP W on wins alone.
  • Model gives TPS W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TPS W Clean Sheet 15%
KTP W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W KTP W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 0
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.68 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs KTP W
3:3
Aug 31, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
2:3
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs KTP W
1:0
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
2:1
Jul 17, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurmi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarnstrom M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

KTP W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaakkola P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 84 / 100
KTP W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W KTP W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

KTP W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

TPS W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS KTP W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
05 Oct
TPS W
3 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
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KTP W

(Away)
04 Oct
KTP W
0 : 1
Lahti W
26 Sept
ONS Oulu W
5 : 0
KTP W
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
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