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TPV vs EsPa

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B 2017 Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
4 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Appelqvist M.
26' Event
Ahonen M.
46' Event
Faal S.

AI Match Summary

TPV in this Kakkonen Group B 2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
TPV
20%
Draws
34%
EsPa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TPV lately — more wins on the board than EsPa.
  • Model gives TPV a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group B 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and TPV have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
TPV Clean Sheet 15%
EsPa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV EsPa
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.84 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.81 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs EsPa
4:3
May 6, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs TPV
1:5
Aug 27, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs EsPa
6:0
Jun 12, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs TPV
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahonen M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Koroma M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

EsPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Appelqvist M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faal S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 35 / 100
EsPa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV EsPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EsPa has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

TPV scored in 76% of their last 37 games.

Solid form: TPV remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV

(Home)
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
11 Aug
TPV
1 : 1
SalPa
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EsPa

(Away)
29 May
Klubi 04
8 : 2
EsPa
06 May
EsPa
1 : 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
09 Apr
EsPa 2
0 : 6
EsPa
16 Apr
EsPa
0 : 1
Honka
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
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