Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TPV vs Espoo

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B 2020 Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Sat, Sep 26, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPV host Espoo in the Kakkonen Group B 2020. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. TPV have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Espoo's 1.19 scored and 2.57 conceded. Past meetings favor TPV slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.63, favoring TPV. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
TPV
20%
Draws
0%
Espoo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TPV come out ahead of Espoo on wins alone.
  • Model gives TPV a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TPV have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
TPV Clean Sheet 14%
Espoo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV Espoo
Matches Played 33 21
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2020 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Espoo
0:0
Jun 13, 2020 Kakkonen Group B
Espoo vs TPV
0:2
Aug 26, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
Espoo vs TPV
1:3
Jun 10, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Espoo
2:1
Sep 23, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Espoo
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 84 / 100
Espoo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV Espoo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 21 matches.

Espoo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

TPV's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV

(Home)
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
11 Aug
TPV
1 : 1
SalPa
05 Aug
OLS Oulu
4 : 2
TPV
Page 1 of 7

Espoo

(Away)
07 May
Espoo
0 : 4
Kiffen
06 Feb
Espoo
1 : 5
JaPS
31 Oct
PIF Pargas
2 : 0
Espoo
24 Oct
Espoo
0 : 2
Jazz Pori
17 Oct
Klubi 04
3 : 2
Espoo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Klubi 04 17 16 1 0 56:14 49
2 Ilves 2 17 11 1 5 39:23 34
3 HJS 17 8 4 5 32:30 28
4 PIF Pargas 17 7 6 4 26:19 27
5 Atlantis 17 8 2 7 42:41 26
6 KaaPo 17 6 6 5 35:26 24
7 Jazz Pori 17 5 6 6 32:28 21
8 GrIFK 17 5 4 8 32:41 19
9 SalPa 17 4 6 7 29:34 18
10 TPV 17 4 6 7 24:38 18
11 Espoo 17 3 2 12 22:39 11
12 Pallo-Iirot 17 2 2 13 10:46 8
Promotion - Ykkonen 2021 (Main)