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TPV vs Ilves 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Play Offs Tammelan Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPV play Ilves 2 in the Kakkonen Play Offs. It looks like a close match. Recently, TPV averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Ilves 2 averaged 3 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, TPV won 2, Ilves 2 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 19, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for TPV and 2.44 for Ilves 2. This points to a Ilves 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
TPV
22%
Draws
60%
Ilves 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ilves 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilves 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to TPV.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Ilves 2.
  • Cup tournament structure in Kakkonen Play Offs increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
Ilves 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV Ilves 2
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.13 3
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Kakkonen Play Offs
Ilves 2 vs TPV
1:2
Oct 16, 2025 Kakkonen Play Offs
TPV vs Ilves 2
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Ilves 2
3:4
Jul 18, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Ilves 2
0:2
May 18, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs TPV
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostiainen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pitkakoski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ilves 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 18 / 100
Ilves 2 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV Ilves 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ilves 2 let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

TPV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ilves 2 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS Ilves 2
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Honka5
HJS2
VJS14
GBK Kokkola2
Ilves 21
JBK0
VPS 24
TPV5
Final
Honka3
VJS4
Ilves 21
TPV5