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TPV vs Jazz Pori Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Toijala T.
37' Event
Lemio J.
40'
Nuorela L.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between TPV and Jazz Pori finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jazz Pori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
TPV
15%
Draws
53%
Jazz Pori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jazz Pori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV haven't matched Jazz Pori's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jazz Pori a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jazz Pori have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV Jazz Pori
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs Jazz Pori
1:3
Jul 24, 2026 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs TPV
4:0
May 2, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs Jazz Pori
0:2
Aug 20, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
Jazz Pori vs TPV
2:1
Jun 3, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Jazz Pori
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Sipila S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemio J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaipiainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 10 / 100
Jazz Pori 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV Jazz Pori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jazz Pori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jazz Pori conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

TPV found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: TPV remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS Jazz Pori
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV

(Home)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
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Jazz Pori

(Away)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
19 Sept
Jazz Pori
0 : 2
VJS
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
Jazz Pori
2 : 0
FC Inter Turku 2
23 Aug
VJS
1 : 1
Jazz Pori
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