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TPV vs KPV Kokkola

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass, Tampere
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPV host KPV Kokkola in the Ykkonen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: TPV at 1.5 goals for, 1.86 against; KPV Kokkola at 1.34 for, 2.86 against. Past meetings favor KPV Kokkola slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.75, favoring TPV. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
TPV
20%
Draws
34%
KPV Kokkola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV have won more games recently than KPV Kokkola.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on TPV taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
TPV Clean Sheet 12%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV KPV Kokkola
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs KPV Kokkola
0:0
Jan 19, 2018 Suomen Cup
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
0:0
Oct 2, 2010 Ykkosliiga
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
3:1
May 22, 2010 Ykkosliiga
TPV vs KPV Kokkola
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 83 / 100
KPV Kokkola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV KPV Kokkola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KPV Kokkola conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: TPV scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

TPV has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS KPV Kokkola
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV

(Home)
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
11 Aug
TPV
1 : 1
SalPa
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KPV Kokkola

(Away)
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
16 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
2 : 3
KPV Kokkola
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