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TPV vs Pallo-Iirot

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B 2025 Tammelan Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPV play Pallo-Iirot in the Kakkonen Group B 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, TPV averaged 2 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Pallo-Iirot averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, TPV won 4, Pallo-Iirot won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 29, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for TPV and 1.00 for Pallo-Iirot. This points to a Pallo-Iirot double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
TPV
40%
Draws
30%
Pallo-Iirot
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Pallo-Iirot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV picked up more points recently compared to Pallo-Iirot.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
TPV Clean Sheet 23%
Pallo-Iirot Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV Pallo-Iirot
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Pallo-Iirot
4:1
Aug 2, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Pallo-Iirot
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Pallo-Iirot vs TPV
1:2
Sep 6, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Pallo-Iirot vs TPV
2:3
Jun 19, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Pallo-Iirot vs TPV
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Bullock E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yli-Rajala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pallo-Iirot Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 32 / 100
Pallo-Iirot 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV Pallo-Iirot

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pallo-Iirot or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TPV attacking → ← attacking Pallo-Iirot

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Pallo-Iirot let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

TPV went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pallo-Iirot lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 50
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ilves 223174267:2955
2TPV23162564:3150
3HJS23125646:3241
4HPS231021133:4032
5Kiffen231011247:4231
6Pallo-Iirot23831239:4327