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TPV vs VJS

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
3 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPV play VJS in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, TPV averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. VJS averaged 2.97 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, TPV won 1, VJS won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for TPV and 2.13 for VJS. This points to a VJS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
TPV
25%
Draws
45%
VJS
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: VJS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • TPV picked up more points recently compared to VJS.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
VJS Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV VJS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.9 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Ykkonen
VJS vs TPV
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs VJS
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
VJS vs TPV
1:1
Jul 8, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
VJS vs TPV
6:2
May 5, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs VJS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Kujala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jadama L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

VJS Compare

Top Goalscorer Babiker A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 29 / 100
VJS 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV VJS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VJS or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TPV attacking → ← attacking VJS

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

VJS let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

TPV went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

VJS lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 59
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampere Utd13101228:831
2RoPS Rovaniemi1374228:1525
3JJK Jyvaskyla1473435:2224
4OLS Oulu1464426:1822
5SalPa1355328:2420
6Keski-Uusimaa1253424:1718
7VJS1245321:1517
8FC Inter Turku 21343625:3715
9Jazz Pori1352614:2014
10TPV1324713:2310
11KuPS Akatemia1322920:308
12KPV Kokkola1322911:448