Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TRA United vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kitambala J.
19' Event
Nganzi A.
Assist: Mapaka A.
41' Event
Mapaka A.
Assist: Mtengwa I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between TRA United and Azam finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TRA United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
TRA United
30%
Draws
47%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
TRA United Clean Sheet 18%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRA United Azam
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
2:1
May 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Azam
4:1
Jan 29, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
2:0
Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
5:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Azam
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mapaka A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nganzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitambala J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 32 / 100
Azam 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRA United Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

TRA United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TRA United's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Azam let in goals in 32% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Azam
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TRA United

(Home)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 6

Azam

(Away)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)