Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium

TRA United

4 - 1

Azam

Our Tip

Match Events

Kitambala J.

19'

Nganzi A.

Assist: Mapaka A.

41'

Mapaka A.

Assist: Mtengwa I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between TRA United and Azam finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TRA United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

TRA United

28%

Draws

50%

Azam

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Azam a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%

TRA United Clean Sheet 13%

Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TRA United	Azam
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	20
Draws	8	6
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	0.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Azam

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Jan 29, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs TRA United

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs TRA United

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

5:0

Dec 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Azam

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Feb 19, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Azam

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mapaka A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nganzi A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitambala J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 22 / 100

Azam 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TRA United Azam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

TRA United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

TRA United's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Azam let in goals in 23% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Azam

0.75 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9