Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TRA United vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Nkane D. In: Chobwedo S.
Out: Nkane D.
61' Event
Chewe C.
Assist: Nouma V.
64'
Sub
Yonta Camara A. In: Tegisi M.
Out: Yonta Camara A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between TRA United and Pamba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TRA United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
TRA United
20%
Draws
0%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • TRA United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on TRA United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
TRA United Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRA United Pamba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
1:3
Apr 17, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Pamba
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Pamba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Chewe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Pamba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 95 / 100
Pamba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRA United Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Pamba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Pamba conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

TRA United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TRA United's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Pamba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TRA United

(Home)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 6

Pamba

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)