Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TRA United vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Nkane D. In: Chobwedo S.
Out: Nkane D.
61' Event
Chewe C.
Assist: Nouma V.
64'
Sub
Yonta Camara A. In: Tegisi M.
Out: Yonta Camara A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between TRA United and Pamba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TRA United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
TRA United
30%
Draws
34%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • TRA United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on TRA United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
TRA United Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRA United Pamba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Pamba
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Pamba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Chewe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pamba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 46 / 100
Pamba 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRA United Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: TRA United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Pamba lost 4 of their last 5 games.

TRA United's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Pamba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TRA United

(Home)
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0
TRA United
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
TRA United
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1
Coastal Union
16 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0
TRA United
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Pamba

(Away)
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1
Pamba
27 Jun
Pamba
1 : 2
JKT Tanzania
24 Jun
Pamba
0 : 2
Mbeya City
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0
Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
Pamba
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)