Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trabzon FK vs Sakaryaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Frei K.
31' Event
Bozkurt C.
62' Event
Depe I.
Assist: Frei K.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group game between Trabzon FK and Sakaryaspor finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakaryaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Trabzon FK
15%
Draws
58%
Sakaryaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trabzon FK come out ahead of Sakaryaspor on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Sakaryaspor taking it.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sakaryaspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Trabzon FK Clean Sheet 14%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trabzon FK Sakaryaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Trabzon FK vs Sakaryaspor
2:3
Feb 23, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Trabzon FK vs Sakaryaspor
0:1
Oct 17, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Sakaryaspor vs Trabzon FK
0:0
Jan 29, 2017 3. Lig Group 3
Trabzon FK vs Sakaryaspor
2:3
Sep 17, 2016 3. Lig Group 3
Sakaryaspor vs Trabzon FK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trabzon FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozkurt C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donmez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Frei K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Depe I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trabzon FK 27 / 100
Sakaryaspor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trabzon FK Sakaryaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakaryaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trabzon FK found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Sakaryaspor conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Trabzon FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trabzon FK VS Sakaryaspor
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trabzon FK

(Home)
03 Oct
Trabzon FK
4 : 1
Serik Spor
27 Sept
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 2
Trabzon FK
20 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 2
Ankara Demirspor
13 Sept
52 Orduspor
1 : 0
Trabzon FK
06 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 3
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6

Sakaryaspor

(Away)
06 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Arit Kayadibi
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Adana 01
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 5 5 0 0 13:4 15
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Ankara Demirspor 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
4 Adana 01 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
5 52 Orduspor 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
6 24Erzincanspor 5 2 3 0 9:7 9
7 12 Bingol Spor 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
8 K. Istklalspor 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
10 Trabzon FK 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
11 Karacabey Bld. 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
12 Serik Spor 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Kirklarelispor 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Kutahyaspor 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
16 Inegolspor 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Iskenderunspor 4 0 0 4 3:13 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)