Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trabzonspor vs Goztepe

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Papara Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trabzonspor play Goztepe in the Super Lig. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trabzonspor averaged 2 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Goztepe averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Trabzonspor won 2, Goztepe won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Trabzonspor and 1.31 for Goztepe. This points to a Trabzonspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Trabzonspor
29%
Draws
29%
Goztepe
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Trabzonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Trabzonspor picked up more points recently compared to Goztepe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 18%
Goztepe Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trabzonspor Goztepe
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Goztepe
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super Lig
Goztepe vs Trabzonspor
1:2
Apr 24, 2025 Turkish Cup
Trabzonspor vs Goztepe
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Goztepe
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Super Lig
Goztepe vs Trabzonspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trabzonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Nayir U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Goztepe Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trabzonspor 41 / 100
Goztepe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trabzonspor Goztepe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trabzonspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trabzonspor attacking → ← attacking Goztepe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trabzonspor scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Goztepe let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Trabzonspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Goztepe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 45
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430