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Traeff vs Gjellerasen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kjorsvik M.
26' Event
Forren V.
30' Event
Toven R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2024 game between Traeff and Gjellerasen finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Traeff.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Traeff
15%
Draws
51%
Gjellerasen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gjellerasen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Traeff come out ahead of Gjellerasen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Traeff a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Traeff Clean Sheet 15%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Traeff Gjellerasen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Traeff vs Gjellerasen
5:0
Apr 14, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Gjellerasen vs Traeff
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Traeff Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjorsvik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forren V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Gjellerasen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Traeff 84 / 100
Gjellerasen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Traeff Gjellerasen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Traeff Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Traeff scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Gjellerasen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Gjellerasen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Traeff VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Traeff

(Home)
27 Sept
Traeff
0 : 4
Kvik Halden
20 Sept
Bjarg
6 : 1
Traeff
16 Sept
Traeff
0 : 3
Hodd
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
06 Sept
Pors
2 : 3
Traeff
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Gjellerasen

(Away)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
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