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Tranent FC vs Cowdenbeath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
McGarry G.
Assist: Brett D.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Tranent FC and Cowdenbeath finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tranent FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tranent FC
20%
Draws
36%
Cowdenbeath
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tranent FC come out ahead of Cowdenbeath on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 20%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranent FC Cowdenbeath
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Cowdenbeath
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Cowdenbeath
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Tranent FC
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Cowdenbeath
2:3
Jul 27, 2024 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Tranent FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranent FC Compare

Top Goalscorer McGarry G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cowdenbeath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranent FC 31 / 100
Cowdenbeath 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranent FC Cowdenbeath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranent FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranent FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Cowdenbeath has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Tranent FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tranent FC VS Cowdenbeath
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranent FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Broxburn Athletic
1 : 1
Tranent FC
03 Oct
Tranent FC
3 : 1
Turriff United
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
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Cowdenbeath

(Away)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)