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Tranent FC vs Motherwell B Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2023/2024
Tue, Aug 1, 2023
1 - 0
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McGinley N.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Higginbotham K.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Maguire B.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tranent FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tranent FC
15%
Draws
0%
Motherwell B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tranent FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tranent FC taking it.
  • Tranent FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tranent FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 20%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranent FC Motherwell B
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 20 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.44
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.37 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Challenge Cup
Tranent FC vs Motherwell B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranent FC 85 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranent FC Motherwell B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranent FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranent FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Motherwell B let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Solid form: Tranent FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Motherwell B's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tranent FC VS Motherwell B
1.13 Goals Scored 0.8
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.6
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranent FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
29 Aug
Tranent FC
4 : 0
Civil Service Strollers
22 Aug
East Stirlingshire
0 : 3
Tranent FC
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell B

(Away)
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
08 Sept
Annan
4 : 0
Motherwell B
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Motherwell B
11 Aug
Kelty Hearts
4 : 3
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Annan -
TBD -
TBD -
Stranraer -
Brora Rangers 1
Aberdeen B 2
TBD -
Peterhead -
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Brechin 3
Hearts B 2
Hibernian B 2
Formartine Utd 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Dundee FC B 4
Buckie Thistle 0
TBD -
East Fife -
St. Mirren B 2
Albion Rovers 3
Tranent FC 1
Motherwell B 0
Partick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stirling -
TBD -
Celtic B 1
East Kilbride 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Morton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elgin City 2
St Johnstone B 0
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
Kilmarnock B 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
TBD -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Spartans 0
Rangers B 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Clyde -
TBD -
Stirling University 4
Livingston B 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
1/32-finals
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Annan 3
Stranraer 1
Aberdeen B 3
Peterhead 5
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Brechin 0
Hibernian B 4
TBD -
TNS -
Dundee FC B 0
East Fife 1
Albion Rovers 2
Tranent FC 0
Partick -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Stirling 0
East Kilbride 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Morton -
TBD -
Elgin City 1
Forfar Athletic 0
Kilmarnock B 1
Dumbarton 2
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
Stenhousemuir 1
Rangers B 2
TBD -
Alloa -
Clyde 1
Stirling University 3
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
1/16-finals
Ayr 0
Falkirk 1
Bala 0
Queen's Park 3
Annan 0
Peterhead 2
Dundee Utd 3
Dunfermline 0
Hibernian B 0
TNS 3
East Fife 2
Albion Rovers 1
Partick 2
Queen of the South 3
Arbroath 4
Inverness 2
Edinburgh City 1
East Kilbride 4
Coleraine 1
Hamilton 3
Raith 3
Cliftonville 0
Cove Rangers 0
Montrose 2
Morton 2
Elgin City 1
Dumbarton 1
Kelty Hearts 3
Rangers B 4
Alloa 1
Stirling University 2
Airdrieonians 3
1/8-finals
Falkirk 1
Queen's Park 0
Peterhead 0
Dundee Utd 2
TNS 3
East Fife 2
Queen of the South 1
Arbroath 2
East Kilbride 2
Hamilton 5
Raith 3
Montrose 1
Morton 4
Kelty Hearts 1
Rangers B 2
Airdrieonians 4
Quarter-finals
Falkirk 4
Dundee Utd 2
TNS 4
Arbroath 1
Hamilton 1
Raith 4
Morton 0
Airdrieonians 1
Semi-finals
Falkirk 0
TNS 1
Raith 0
Airdrieonians 1
Final
TNS 1
Airdrieonians 2