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Tranent FC vs Motherwell B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2023/2024
Tue, Aug 1, 2023
1 - 0
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McGinley N.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Higginbotham K.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Maguire B.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tranent FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tranent FC
6%
Draws
4%
Motherwell B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tranent FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tranent FC taking it.
  • Tranent FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tranent FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 20%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranent FC Motherwell B
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 19 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Challenge Cup
Tranent FC vs Motherwell B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranent FC 85 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranent FC Motherwell B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranent FC scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Motherwell B let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Away concern: Motherwell B has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: Tranent FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tranent FC VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranent FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Boness United
1 : 2
Tranent FC
11 Jul
Tranent FC
0 : 3
Auchinleck Talbot
04 Jul
Tranent FC
2 : 0
Stirling
18 Apr
Tranent FC
3 : 0
Broxburn Athletic
11 Apr
Caledonian Braves
3 : 0
Tranent FC
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell B

(Away)
11 Nov
Queen of the South
3 : 1
Motherwell B
11 Oct
Stenhousemuir
4 : 0
Motherwell B
23 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 0
Motherwell B
06 Sept
Clyde
4 : 0
Motherwell B
26 Aug
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ayr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen's Park-
Annan-
TBD-
TBD-
Stranraer-
Brora Rangers1
Aberdeen B2
TBD-
Peterhead-
Dundee Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunfermline-
Brechin3
Hearts B2
Hibernian B2
Formartine Utd1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Dundee FC B4
Buckie Thistle0
TBD-
East Fife-
St. Mirren B2
Albion Rovers3
Tranent FC1
Motherwell B0
Partick-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
Arbroath-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inverness-
Edinburgh City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stirling-
TBD-
Celtic B1
East Kilbride3
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hamilton-
Raith-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Cove Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montrose-
Morton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Elgin City2
St Johnstone B0
TBD-
Forfar Athletic-
Kilmarnock B3
Bonnyrigg Rose1
TBD-
Dumbarton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kelty Hearts-
Stenhousemuir-
TBD-
Spartans0
Rangers B3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alloa-
Clyde-
TBD-
Stirling University4
Livingston B0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airdrieonians-
1/32-finals
Ayr-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen's Park-
Annan3
Stranraer1
Aberdeen B3
Peterhead5
Dundee Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunfermline-
Brechin0
Hibernian B4
TBD-
TNS-
Dundee FC B0
East Fife1
Albion Rovers2
Tranent FC0
Partick-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
Arbroath-
TBD-
TBD-
Inverness-
Edinburgh City-
TBD-
Stirling0
East Kilbride3
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Hamilton-
Raith-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Cove Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Montrose-
Morton-
TBD-
Elgin City1
Forfar Athletic0
Kilmarnock B1
Dumbarton2
TBD-
Kelty Hearts-
Stenhousemuir1
Rangers B2
TBD-
Alloa-
Clyde1
Stirling University3
TBD-
Airdrieonians-
1/16-finals
Ayr0
Falkirk1
Bala0
Queen's Park3
Annan0
Peterhead2
Dundee Utd3
Dunfermline0
Hibernian B0
TNS3
East Fife2
Albion Rovers1
Partick2
Queen of the South3
Arbroath4
Inverness2
Edinburgh City1
East Kilbride4
Coleraine1
Hamilton3
Raith3
Cliftonville0
Cove Rangers0
Montrose2
Morton2
Elgin City1
Dumbarton1
Kelty Hearts3
Rangers B4
Alloa1
Stirling University2
Airdrieonians3
1/8-finals
Falkirk1
Queen's Park0
Peterhead0
Dundee Utd2
TNS3
East Fife2
Queen of the South1
Arbroath2
East Kilbride2
Hamilton5
Raith3
Montrose1
Morton4
Kelty Hearts1
Rangers B2
Airdrieonians4
Quarter-finals
Falkirk4
Dundee Utd2
TNS4
Arbroath1
Hamilton1
Raith4
Morton0
Airdrieonians1
Semi-finals
Falkirk0
TNS1
Raith0
Airdrieonians1
Final
TNS1
Airdrieonians2