This match ends 2-1, with Tranmere advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
Tranmere
30%
Draws
8%
Blackpool
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: Tranmere
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
Blackpool carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Tranmere a 62% chance of winning this.
Blackpool arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Tranmere, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Tranmere here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals98%
Over 1.5 Goals87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals44%
Over 4.5 Goals20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)72.2%
Tranmere Clean Sheet17%
Blackpool Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Tranmere
Blackpool
Matches Played
29
28
Wins
6
11
Draws
8
5
Losses
15
12
Goals Scored
0.93
1.36
Goals Conceded
1.48
1.61
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026Club Friendly
TranmerevsBlackpool
2:0
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
TranmerevsBlackpool
2:1
Jul 30, 2024Club Friendly
TranmerevsBlackpool
3:1
Mar 10, 2020League One
BlackpoolvsTranmere
1:2
Dec 29, 2019League One
TranmerevsBlackpool
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tranmere Compare
Top GoalscorerBrough P.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderIronside J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.25
Avg xA / game0.81
Blackpool Compare
Top GoalscorerBanks S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.25
Avg xA / game0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tranmere75 / 100
Blackpool10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tranmere Blackpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickTranmere Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tranmere found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Blackpool's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Tranmere went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.