This match ends 2-1, with Tranmere advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
Tranmere
33%
Draws
27%
Blackpool
Draw rate projection: 33%Favored: Tranmere
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
Blackpool carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Tranmere a 40% chance of winning this.
Blackpool arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Tranmere, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Tranmere here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals19%
Over 4.5 Goals9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)70.2%
Tranmere Clean Sheet18%
Blackpool Clean Sheet19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Tranmere
Blackpool
Matches Played
30
29
Wins
6
11
Draws
3
4
Losses
21
14
Goals Scored
1
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.25
0.50
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026Club Friendly
TranmerevsBlackpool
2:0
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
TranmerevsBlackpool
2:1
Jul 30, 2024Club Friendly
TranmerevsBlackpool
3:1
Mar 10, 2020League One
BlackpoolvsTranmere
1:2
Dec 29, 2019League One
TranmerevsBlackpool
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tranmere Compare
Top GoalscorerBrough P.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderIronside J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game0.77
Avg xA / game0.5
Blackpool Compare
Top GoalscorerBanks S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.25
Avg xA / game0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tranmere40 / 100
Blackpool28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tranmere Blackpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickTRA Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tranmere found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Blackpool's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Tranmere went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.