Sport Picks
Tranmere vs Cheltenham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Prenton Park, Birkenhead 
Match Events
1'
1'
McCann C.
Assist: Evans J.
23'
23'
Jones D.
Assist: Slater J.
32'
32'
Evans J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Tranmere and Cheltenham finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tranmere.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cheltenham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Cheltenham carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tranmere a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tranmere have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 16%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tranmere | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Cheltenham
3:1
Apr 21, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Tranmere
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Cheltenham
3:2
Mar 28, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Cheltenham
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 League Two
Cheltenham vs Tranmere
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Whitaker C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer McCann C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tranmere 57 / 100
Cheltenham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tranmere Cheltenham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tranmere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cheltenham has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Tranmere scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Tranmere went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tranmere VS Cheltenham
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tranmere
(Home) 31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1 Cheltenham
24 Oct
Crawley Town
1 : 1 Tranmere
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
17 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 2 Barnet
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1 Rochdale
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1 Cheltenham
17 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 2 Barnet
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1 Rochdale
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1 Walsall
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 4
Cheltenham
(Away) 31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1 Cheltenham
24 Oct
Cheltenham
1 : 0 Newport
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2 Fleetwood Town
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1 Cheltenham
13 Oct
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1 Cheltenham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1 Cheltenham
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
