Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Amaluzor J.
Assist: Green K.
53'
53'
Sub
Woolery K. In: Ironside J.
Out: Woolery K.
53'
53'
Sub
Kenneh N. In: Dennis K.
Out: Kenneh N.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Tranmere and Grimsby finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Grimsby
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Grimsby carry the better recent record into this one.
- Grimsby are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 12%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.17 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Grimsby
1:1
Nov 27, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Tranmere
1:2
Mar 4, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Tranmere
1:1
Oct 22, 2024 League Two
Tranmere vs Grimsby
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Tranmere
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Amaluzor J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tranmere 19 / 100
Grimsby 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tranmere Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tranmere scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Tranmere stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Grimsby let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tranmere VS Grimsby
1.17 Goals Scored 2.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tranmere
(Home) 18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0 Blackpool
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1 Grimsby
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0 Tranmere
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
18 Apr
Tranmere
1 : 2 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0 Blackpool
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1 Grimsby
18 Apr
Tranmere
1 : 2 Bristol Rovers
06 Apr
Tranmere
0 : 1 Colchester
21 Mar
Tranmere
0 : 1 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
Grimsby
(Away) 29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
18 Jul
Zorya
1 : 1 Grimsby
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
18 Jul
Zorya
1 : 1 Grimsby
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0 Grimsby
15 May
Salford
2 : 2 Grimsby
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
