Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Amaluzor J.
Assist: Green K.
53'
53'
Sub
Woolery K. In: Ironside J.
Out: Woolery K.
53'
53'
Sub
Kenneh N. In: Dennis K.
Out: Kenneh N.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Tranmere and Grimsby finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Grimsby carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 20%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Grimsby
1:1
Nov 27, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Tranmere
1:2
Mar 4, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Tranmere
1:1
Oct 22, 2024 League Two
Tranmere vs Grimsby
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Tranmere
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Amaluzor J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tranmere 32 / 100
Grimsby 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tranmere Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tranmere scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Tranmere stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Grimsby let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tranmere VS Grimsby
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tranmere
(Home) 22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2 Rotherham
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2 Rotherham
15 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
Page 1 of 3
Grimsby
(Away) 22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
22 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Grimsby
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
