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Tranmere vs Oldham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Norburn O.
11'
Robson J.
17' Event
Jones D.
Assist: Ince T.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Tranmere and Oldham finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tranmere.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tranmere
30%
Draws
33%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tranmere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Oldham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tranmere's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 68%
Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranmere Oldham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Oldham
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Oldham
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Tranmere
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Tranmere vs Oldham
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 League Two
Tranmere vs Oldham
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Oldham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranmere 77 / 100
Oldham 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranmere Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranmere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranmere's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Oldham let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tranmere stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tranmere VS Oldham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranmere

(Home)
31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1
Cheltenham
24 Oct
Crawley Town
1 : 1
Tranmere
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1
Tranmere
17 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 2
Barnet
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1
Rochdale
Page 1 of 6

Oldham

(Away)
03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1
Oldham
31 Oct
Oldham
0 : 1
Crawley Town
24 Oct
Barnet
1 : 1
Oldham
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)