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Tranmere vs Shrewsbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Anderson T.
46'
Sub
Lloyd G. In: Fletcher I.
Out: Lloyd G.
46'
Sub
Sang T. In: Gray W.
Out: Sang T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tranmere
30%
Draws
39%
Shrewsbury
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shrewsbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shrewsbury come out ahead of Tranmere on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tranmere a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Shrewsbury arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tranmere, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tranmere have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 18%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranmere Shrewsbury
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy
Tranmere vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Shrewsbury
2:0
Apr 3, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Tranmere
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Shrewsbury
4:0
Feb 25, 2020 League One
Shrewsbury vs Tranmere
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Shrewsbury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranmere 41 / 100
Shrewsbury 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranmere Shrewsbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranmere's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shrewsbury conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Tranmere has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tranmere VS Shrewsbury
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranmere

(Home)
31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1
Cheltenham
24 Oct
Crawley Town
1 : 1
Tranmere
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1
Tranmere
17 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 2
Barnet
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1
Rochdale
Page 1 of 6

Shrewsbury

(Away)
31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2
Gillingham
27 Oct
Shrewsbury
2 : 1
Everton U21
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3
Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3
Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Rotherham 3 1 0 2 1:6 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
2 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:11 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Everton U21 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:6 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oldham 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 3 0 0 3 4:12 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 2 1 0 1 4:8 3
4 Fulham U21 2 0 0 2 3:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 5:4 5
3 Reading 2 1 0 1 1:3 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
2 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 5:4 4
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal U21 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
2 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
3 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
4 AFC Wimbledon 3 0 0 3 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
3 Brighton U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)