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TransferWise vs Tallinna Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-9, with Tallinna Kalev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
TransferWise
20%
Draws
32%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TransferWise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tallinna Kalev come out ahead of TransferWise on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Tallinna Kalev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tallinna Kalev, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
TransferWise Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TransferWise Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 17 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 0 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.59 2.78
Goals Conceded 6.65 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2021 Estonian Cup
TransferWise vs Tallinna Kalev
2:9
Aug 26, 2020 Estonian Cup
TransferWise vs Tallinna Kalev
0:11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TransferWise 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TransferWise Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

TransferWise found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (17 games).

Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Tallinna Kalev lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TransferWise VS Tallinna Kalev
3 Goals Scored 3.25
6 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TransferWise

(Home)
26 Jul
TransferWise
3 : 6
Olympic Tallinn
22 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
26 : 0
TransferWise
07 Aug
TransferWise
0 : 15
Harju JK Laagri
01 Aug
TransferWise
0 : 3
Tulevik
18 Jun
TransferWise
1 : 0
Tallinna Wolves
Page 1 of 4

Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Viimsi Lovid 0
Flora U19 3
Rumori Calcio II 1
FCP Parnu 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Valga Warrior -
FCT Titans -
Kristiine 5
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kose 0
Maksatransport 2
Raplamaa 15
Wolfram 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Kadakas 3
TransferWise 4
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tabasalu II -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 5
Kusti 4
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Elva 3
Helm 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 5
Viimsi JK 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
TBD -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 4
FC Alliance U21 2
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
FC Hell Hunt 0
TBD -
Parnu Sadam -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Karskem Karsklus -
Narva -
HF Beer -
FC Alliance 10
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Helios -
TBD -
Rakvere 3
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Kohvile 7
Young FC 4
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
Tartu Kalev -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 11
Aksi Wolves 1
Nomme Utd -
Jogeva -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Imavere Forss 5
Tulevik 26
Lelle 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Hiiumaa 1
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kalju -
TBD -
Mulgi 3
JK 32. keskkool 1
EstHam United -
TBD -
Eston Villa II -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Teleios 0
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu -
TBD -
Legion U21 5
Annelinna Ajax 2
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
1/32-finals
Flora U19 12
FCP Parnu 0
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Valga Warrior 1
Kristiine 4
Maksatransport 1
Raplamaa 3
TBD -
Levadia -
TransferWise 2
Tallinna Kalev 9
Tabasalu II 6
Jarva-Jaani 0
Rumori Calcio 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 7
Legion 21
Soccernet 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Viimsi JK -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 2
FC Tallinn 3
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
Parnu Sadam 1
Flora Tallinn U21 24
Karskem Karsklus 0
Narva 5
FC Alliance 0
Maardu Aliens 2
Eston Villa 3
Helios 3
Rakvere 1
Kohvile 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Saku Sporting 0
Tammeka Tartu 9
JK Poseidon 0
Kuressaare 9
Tartu Kalev 10
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 0
Nomme Utd -
Imavere Forss -
Tulevik -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tulevik U21 4
Ganvix Turi 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kalju 32
Mulgi 0
EstHam United 0
FC Ararat 6
Vastseliina Tannem -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu 2
Legion U21 0
Tabasalu 11
Arukula Vigri 1
1/16-finals
Flora U19 0
Flora 14
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
Kristiine 0
Raplamaa 0
Levadia 5
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tabasalu II 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Legion 8
Elva 2
Viimsi JK 0
FC Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
FCI Tallinn 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva 3
Eston Villa 0
Helios 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tammeka Tartu 3
Kuressaare 1
Tartu Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 2
Tulevik 10
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Kalju 9
FC Ararat 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Parnu 0
Tabasalu 1
1/8-finals
Flora -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Levadia 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Legion -
Elva -
Paide Linnameeskond 14
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Narva 3
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tartu Kalev 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 3
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tabasalu -
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Levadia 0
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Narva 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Kalju 7
Tabasalu 0
Semi-finals
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Narva 0
Kalju 1
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 0