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Transinvest vs Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA FK TransINVEST stadium, Galine
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Barauskas D. In: Tanaka H.
Out: Barauskas D.
33'
Franke D.
41' Event
Xabi Auzmendi

AI Match Summary

Transinvest in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Transinvest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Transinvest
15%
Draws
40%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Transinvest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Transinvest haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • Transinvest are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Transinvest Clean Sheet 20%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Transinvest Zalgiris
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
3:0
Jul 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Transinvest
3:1
May 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
1:0
Mar 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Transinvest
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Transinvest Compare

Top Goalscorer Xabi Auzmendi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milosevic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Zalgiris Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Transinvest 58 / 100
Zalgiris 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Transinvest Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Transinvest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Transinvest scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Zalgiris conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Transinvest remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Transinvest VS Zalgiris
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Transinvest

(Home)
17 Oct
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 3
Transinvest
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
24 Aug
Transinvest
3 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
18 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 1
FC Hegelmann
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 29 15 9 5 57:20 54
2 Zalgiris 30 15 5 10 49:35 50
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 29 13 7 9 46:38 46
5 Banga 29 11 8 10 33:30 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 29 10 9 10 39:43 39
7 FK Panevezys 29 10 5 14 31:44 35
8 FC Hegelmann 30 4 14 12 32:52 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)