Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Transinvest vs Zalgiris Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA FK TransINVEST stadium, Galine
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Glushach Y.
31'
Kendysh Y.
36' Event
Xabi Auzmendi
Assist: Barauskas D.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Transinvest and Zalgiris finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Transinvest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Transinvest
20%
Draws
33%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Transinvest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Transinvest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Transinvest are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Transinvest Clean Sheet 16%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Transinvest Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
3:0
Jul 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Transinvest
3:1
May 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
1:0
Mar 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Transinvest
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Transinvest Compare

Top Goalscorer Xabi Auzmendi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Zalgiris Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Transinvest 84 / 100
Zalgiris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Transinvest Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Transinvest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Transinvest's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Zalgiris conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Transinvest has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Transinvest VS Zalgiris
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Transinvest

(Home)
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
24 Aug
Transinvest
3 : 0
FA Siauliai
16 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1
Transinvest
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)