Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trapani vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale, Erice
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Marsico A.
35' Event
Marsico A.
42' Event
Bruno Cosendey

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Trapani
20%
Draws
73%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vibonese lately — more wins on the board than Trapani.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Vibonese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trapani Clean Sheet 13%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trapani Vibonese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Vibonese
0:4
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Trapani
2:5
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Vibonese
2:0
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Trapani
1:1
Dec 18, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Vibonese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trapani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsico A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Cosendey
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trapani 10 / 100
Vibonese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trapani Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Trapani scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Vibonese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Trapani stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trapani VS Vibonese
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trapani

(Home)
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
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Vibonese

(Away)
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Nissa 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Igea Virtus 3 2 1 0 10:7 7
4 Sambiase 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Milazzo 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Digiesse PraiaTortora 3 1 2 0 7:2 5
7 Vibonese 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
8 Castrumfavara 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
9 Athletic Palermo 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
10 Calcio Avola 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
11 Gela 3 1 0 2 4:5 2
12 Lamezia 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
13 USD Ragusa 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
14 Licata 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
15 ASD Modica Calcio 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Siracusa 3 2 1 0 7:4 0
17 Enna 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
18 Trapani 3 0 0 3 0:7 -5
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)