Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trasandino vs Provincial Ovalle

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Regional de Los Andes
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Duma C.
8' Event
Maluenda L.
13'
Gonzalez V.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Trasandino and Provincial Ovalle finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trasandino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Trasandino
6%
Draws
4%
Provincial Ovalle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Trasandino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Trasandino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Trasandino a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Trasandino Clean Sheet 68%
Provincial Ovalle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trasandino Provincial Ovalle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Provincial Ovalle vs Trasandino
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Provincial Ovalle
4:2
Nov 29, 2025 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Provincial Ovalle
0:1
Jun 21, 2025 Segunda Division
Provincial Ovalle vs Trasandino
2:0
Aug 4, 2024 Segunda Division
Provincial Ovalle vs Trasandino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trasandino Compare

Top Goalscorer San Martin T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Poza L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Provincial Ovalle Compare

Top Goalscorer Duma C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maluenda L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trasandino 95 / 100
Provincial Ovalle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trasandino Provincial Ovalle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trasandino scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Provincial Ovalle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Trasandino stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trasandino VS Provincial Ovalle
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1234516:1713
6Atletico Colina1233615:1412
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1266015:524
2Colchagua CD1264215:1122
3Linares Unido1261516:1219
4General Velasquez1251611:1516
5Lota Schwager1234511:1313
6Deportes Rengo1232710:1711
7S. Morning122469:1410