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Trastevere Calcio vs Gelbison Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Iacoponi R.
39' Event
Giordani V.
48' Event
Viscomi F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Trastevere Calcio and Gelbison finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trastevere Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Trastevere Calcio
20%
Draws
33%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gelbison carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Trastevere Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trastevere Calcio Gelbison
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Gelbison
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs Trastevere Calcio
3:3
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Gelbison
1:2
Apr 9, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Trastevere Calcio
0:0
Nov 27, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Trastevere Calcio vs Gelbison
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Iacoponi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giordani V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Viscomi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trastevere Calcio 95 / 100
Gelbison 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trastevere Calcio Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trastevere Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gelbison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Trastevere Calcio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trastevere Calcio VS Gelbison
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trastevere Calcio

(Home)
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Gelbison

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
2 Paganese 5 3 1 1 13:7 10
3 Monastir 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
4 Trastevere Calcio 5 3 1 1 8:10 10
5 Certosa V. Campagnano 5 3 0 2 8:3 9
6 Unipomezia 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
7 Albalonga 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
8 Ossese 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
9 Budoni Calcio 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Gelbison 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 Afragolese 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Aranova 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Citta di Anagni 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Latte Dolce 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
17 Atl. Lodigiani 5 0 1 4 7:14 1
18 US Venafro 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)