Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
Singh A. R.
77'
77'
Muttum D.
77'
77'
Muttum D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TRAU FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- NEROCA's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what TRAU FC have produced (1.13).
- Model gives TRAU FC a 36% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor NEROCA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TRAU FC Clean Sheet 20%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TRAU FC | NEROCA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2025 Durand Cup
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 I-League 2
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs TRAU FC
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 I-League
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:2
Mar 21, 2024 I-League
NEROCA vs TRAU FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TRAU FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Singh A. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
NEROCA Compare
Top Goalscorer Arunjacki
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TRAU FC 36 / 100
NEROCA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TRAU FC NEROCA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
NEROCA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.
TRAU FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: TRAU FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TRAU FC VS NEROCA
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
TRAU FC
(Home) 24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2 Chhaygaon
22 May
Raengdai
2 : 0 TRAU FC
20 May
KLASA
1 : 1 TRAU FC
18 May
TRAU FC
0 : 1 Baghpat
16 May
Sunrise Club
0 : 0 TRAU FC
Page 1 of 6
24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2 Chhaygaon
18 May
TRAU FC
0 : 1 Baghpat
04 May
TRAU FC
2 : 0 CD Salgaocar
28 Apr
TRAU FC
2 : 2 Mumbay FC
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 4
NEROCA
(Away) 14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3 Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2 Karbi Anglong
26 Apr
United SC
1 : 0 NEROCA
20 Apr
SC Bengaluru
3 : 5 NEROCA
15 Apr
Bengaluru United
2 : 1 NEROCA
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
United SC
1 : 0 NEROCA
20 Apr
SC Bengaluru
3 : 5 NEROCA
15 Apr
Bengaluru United
2 : 1 NEROCA
09 Apr
MYJ-GMSC
2 : 1 NEROCA
30 Jul
TRAU FC
1 : 1 NEROCA
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Bengal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Namdhari | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indian Air Force (New Delhi) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6:13 | 1 |
| 4 | South United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohun Bagan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Diamond Harbour | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Mohammedan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Border Security Force | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamshedpur | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Army Red | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Nepal Army | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 Ladakh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodoland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Minerva Punjab | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Indo-Tibetan Border Police | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Karbi Anglong | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North East United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Lajong | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 6 |
| 3 | ATM FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 4 | Rangdajied United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indian Navy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Real Kashmir | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | NEROCA | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 4 | TRAU FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams