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TRAU FC vs NEROCA

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Singh A. R.
77'
Muttum D.
77'
Muttum D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
TRAU FC
35%
Draws
32%
NEROCA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • NEROCA's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what TRAU FC have produced (1.03).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor NEROCA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
TRAU FC Clean Sheet 20%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TRAU FC NEROCA
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Durand Cup
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Durand Cup
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 I-League 2
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs TRAU FC
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 I-League
TRAU FC vs NEROCA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRAU FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh A. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Arunjacki
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRAU FC 31 / 100
NEROCA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TRAU FC NEROCA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRAU FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEROCA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

TRAU FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: TRAU FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TRAU FC VS NEROCA
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TRAU FC

(Home)
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1
Indian Navy
03 Aug
TRAU FC
3 : 4
Raengdai
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2
Chhaygaon
22 May
Raengdai
2 : 0
TRAU FC
Page 1 of 6

NEROCA

(Away)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namdhari 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 6:13 1
4 South United 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Diamond Harbour 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamshedpur 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Army Red 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 1 Ladakh 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodoland FC 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Minerva Punjab 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Indo-Tibetan Border Police 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Lajong 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 ATM FA 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indian Navy 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Real Kashmir 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 NEROCA 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 TRAU FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams