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Travadores vs Santo Crucifixo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Travadores play Santo Crucifixo in the Campeonato Nacional 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Travadores averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1 conceded. Santo Crucifixo averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Travadores won 2, Santo Crucifixo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 20, 2023 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.33 for Travadores and 0.94 for Santo Crucifixo. This points to a Travadores double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Travadores
21%
Draws
28%
Santo Crucifixo
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Travadores

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Travadores picked up more points recently compared to Santo Crucifixo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.33 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Travadores Clean Sheet 24%
Santo Crucifixo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Travadores Santo Crucifixo
Matches Played 6 18
Wins 3 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.67 0.89
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Travadores vs Santo Crucifixo
4:0
May 13, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Santo Crucifixo vs Travadores
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Travadores 51 / 100
Santo Crucifixo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Travadores Santo Crucifixo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Travadores or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Travadores attacking → ← attacking Santo Crucifixo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Travadores scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Santo Crucifixo let in goals in 61% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Travadores went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santo Crucifixo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 20
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mindelense64206:014
2Travadores630310:69
3Santo Crucifixo62134:67
4Juventude61144:124
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeira640210:612
2Vulcanico Clube63218:511
3Belo Horizonte61235:105
4Sanjoanenses61237:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academica do Mindelo641113:713
2Morabeza62406:410
3Figueirense61238:115
4GD Varandinha60336:113