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Tre Fiori vs AC Libertas

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Prandelli M.
Assist: Benedettini F.
37' Event
Benedettini F.
Assist: Sirri A.
44'
Tomassini F. R.

AI Match Summary

Tre Fiori play AC Libertas in the Campionato Sammarinese. Tre Fiori are favorites here. Recently, Tre Fiori averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. AC Libertas averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Tre Fiori won 5, AC Libertas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Tre Fiori and 0.63 for AC Libertas. This points to a Tre Fiori double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tre Fiori
6%
Draws
4%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tre Fiori has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AC Libertas.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tre Fiori.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campionato Sammarinese provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori AC Libertas
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 22 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs AC Libertas
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Tre Fiori
0:4
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs AC Libertas
4:0
Oct 22, 2024 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Tre Fiori
0:3
Sep 24, 2024 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs AC Libertas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benedettini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

AC Libertas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 95 / 100
AC Libertas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori AC Libertas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Fiori scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

AC Libertas let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tre Fiori went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AC Libertas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS AC Libertas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2