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Tre Fiori vs SP Domagnano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bernardi T. L.
22' Event
Benedettini F.
Assist: D'Addario A.
34' Event
Rea S.
Assist: Sami B.

AI Match Summary

Tre Fiori in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Fiori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tre Fiori
15%
Draws
36%
SP Domagnano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • SP Domagnano haven't matched Tre Fiori's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Tre Fiori taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tre Fiori have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 10%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori SP Domagnano
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 22 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.09 1.84
Goals Conceded 1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SP Domagnano
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SP Domagnano
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Tre Fiori
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Tre Fiori
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SP Domagnano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardi T. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benedettini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SP Domagnano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 83 / 100
SP Domagnano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori SP Domagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Fiori's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: SP Domagnano conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Tre Fiori stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS SP Domagnano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Fiori

(Home)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
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SP Domagnano

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)