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Tre Fiori vs SS Murata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tre Fiori host SS Murata in the Campionato Sammarinese. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Tre Fiori have averaged 2.06 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against SS Murata's 0.71 scored and 2.81 conceded. Past meetings favor Tre Fiori slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.80) point toward Tre Fiori. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Tre Fiori
15%
Draws
17%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Tre Fiori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tre Fiori a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tre Fiori have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 11%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori SS Murata
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 21 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 8 27
Goals Scored 2.06 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Fiori
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Murata
4:0
Mar 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Murata
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Fiori
0:2
Apr 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Fiori
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 83 / 100
SS Murata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Fiori scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

SS Murata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Tre Fiori remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS SS Murata
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Fiori

(Home)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 7

SS Murata

(Away)
09 Oct
La Fiorita
3 : 0
SS Murata
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)