Sport Picks
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 
Match Events
38'
38'
Prandelli M.
41'
41'
Belward S.
48'
48'
Prandelli M.
Assist: D'Addario A.
AI Match Summary
Tre Fiori in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Fiori.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tre Fiori have won more games recently than SS Pennarossa.
- Model gives Tre Fiori a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 10%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Fiori | SS Pennarossa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa
5:2
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Titano
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Fiori Compare
Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Benedettini F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
SS Pennarossa Compare
Top Goalscorer Belward S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calderone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Fiori 38 / 100
SS Pennarossa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Fiori SS Pennarossa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tre Fiori scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: SS Pennarossa conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tre Fiori stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tre Fiori VS SS Pennarossa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Fiori
(Home) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4 Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
06 Aug
Tre Fiori
1 : 4 Drita
Page 1 of 4
SS Pennarossa
(Away) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1 SS Pennarossa
12 Apr
SP Cosmos
0 : 1 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 5 | SP Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 7 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 11 | Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 13 | San Giovanni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 14 | SS Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:16 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy U22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 16 | SC Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
