Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tre Fiori vs Virtus

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Prandelli M.
Assist: Sami B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tre Fiori advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tre Fiori
15%
Draws
46%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Virtus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tre Fiori, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori Virtus
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 21 24
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.06 2.11
Goals Conceded 1 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs Virtus
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Virtus
4:1
Mar 4, 2026 Coppa Titano
Virtus vs Tre Fiori
0:0
Dec 23, 2025 Super Cup
Virtus vs Tre Fiori
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Tre Fiori
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Virtus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 42 / 100
Virtus 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Fiori found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Virtus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Tre Fiori remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS Virtus
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Fiori

(Home)
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2
La Fiorita
13 Aug
Drita
5 : 0
Tre Fiori
06 Aug
Tre Fiori
1 : 4
Drita
29 Jul
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
Forli FC
Page 1 of 7

Virtus

(Away)
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Virtus
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3
Vardar
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Cailungo 2
AC Libertas 3
San Giovanni 3
SP Cosmos 4
Tre Fiori 4
SS Pennarossa 1
Tre Penne 5
SP Domagnano 2
Fiorentino 2
Juvenes/Dogana 5
SS Murata 3
SC Faetano 1
Folgore 0
La Fiorita 1
Quarter-finals
Virtus 6
AC Libertas 1
SP Cosmos 1
Tre Fiori 7
Tre Penne 1
Juvenes/Dogana 2
SS Murata 2
La Fiorita 4
Semi-finals
Virtus 0
Tre Fiori 1
Juvenes/Dogana 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Tre Fiori 1
La Fiorita 3