Sport Picks

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Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Tre Penne Logo

Tre Penne

2 - 1
FT
Juvenes/Dogana Logo

Juvenes/Dogana

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Borghini G.
66' Event
Casadio P.
Assist: Loiodice S.
81' Event
Ruiz B.
Assist: Carrer A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Tre Penne
15%
Draws
14%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tre Penne come out ahead of Juvenes/Dogana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tre Penne a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Tre Penne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tre Penne, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Penne Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:0
Sep 8, 2026 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
3:1
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Penne
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Penne Compare

Top Goalscorer Casadio P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Borghini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Penne 95 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Penne Juvenes/Dogana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Penne found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Tre Penne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Juvenes/Dogana let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tre Penne VS Juvenes/Dogana
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Penne

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
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Juvenes/Dogana

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -