Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Bartoli T.
Assist: Pieri R.
89' Event
Bartoli T.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between Tre Penne and SP Cosmos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Penne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tre Penne
15%
Draws
34%
SP Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tre Penne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Penne SP Cosmos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.37 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
2:0
May 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Tre Penne
0:0
May 3, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Tre Penne
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Penne Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartoli T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SP Cosmos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Penne 95 / 100
SP Cosmos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Penne SP Cosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tre Penne scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Tre Penne remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

SP Cosmos let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tre Penne VS SP Cosmos
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Penne

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

SP Cosmos

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
4 Tre Penne 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
11 San Giovanni 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
14 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
15 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
16 Cailungo 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)