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Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Tre Penne Logo

Tre Penne

0 - 0
FT
SP Cosmos Logo

SP Cosmos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tre Penne
15%
Draws
34%
SP Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tre Penne come out ahead of SP Cosmos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tre Penne a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Tre Penne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tre Penne, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Penne SP Cosmos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.37 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
2:0
May 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Tre Penne
0:0
May 3, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Tre Penne
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Penne 77 / 100
SP Cosmos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Penne SP Cosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tre Penne scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Tre Penne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: SP Cosmos conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tre Penne VS SP Cosmos
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Penne

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

SP Cosmos

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3