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Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tre Penne host Tre Fiori in the Campionato Sammarinese. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Tre Penne at 2.38 goals for, 0.59 against; Tre Fiori at 2.03 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Tre Penne slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.45 vs 1.03, favoring Tre Penne. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tre Penne
15%
Draws
38%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tre Penne lately — more wins on the board than Tre Fiori.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 20%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Penne Tre Fiori
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 24 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.38 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.45 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Tre Penne
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori
0:0
Apr 2, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs Tre Penne
3:0
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Penne 32 / 100
Tre Fiori 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Penne Tre Fiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Penne found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Tre Penne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Tre Fiori conceded in 47% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Penne VS Tre Fiori
2.14 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 2.75
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Penne

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7

Tre Fiori

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)