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Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Flemmings J.
86' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Treasure Beach and Humble Lions finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Treasure Beach
30%
Draws
23%
Humble Lions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Treasure Beach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Treasure Beach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Treasure Beach taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Humble Lions have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 20%
Humble Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treasure Beach Humble Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Treasure Beach
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Flemmings J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Humble Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treasure Beach 85 / 100
Humble Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treasure Beach Humble Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treasure Beach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Humble Lions conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Treasure Beach found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Humble Lions registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Treasure Beach VS Humble Lions
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Treasure Beach

(Home)
04 Oct
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Humble Lions
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2
Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
Page 1 of 6

Humble Lions

(Away)
04 Oct
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Humble Lions
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
04 May
Humble Lions
0 : 4
Mount Pleasant
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
2 Waterhouse 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)