Sport Picks
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
Jamaica
Premier League Steths Sports Complex, Santa Cruz 
Match Events
12'
12'
Lewis A.
37'
37'
Flemmings J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treasure Beach
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tivoli have won more games recently than Treasure Beach.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Treasure Beach taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 19%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Treasure Beach | Tivoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
1:1
Apr 30, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
4:2
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
4:2
Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Treasure Beach
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Treasure Beach Compare
Top Goalscorer Flemmings J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Tivoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Lewis A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treasure Beach 85 / 100
Tivoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treasure Beach Tivoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Treasure Beach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Defensive concern: Tivoli conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
Treasure Beach has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tivoli lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Treasure Beach VS Tivoli
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Treasure Beach
(Home) 20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1 Tivoli
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2 Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2 Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2 Tivoli
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1 Tivoli
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2 Molynes United
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2 Tivoli
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0 FC Dunbeholden
19 Apr
Treasure Beach
2 : 2 Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 4
Tivoli
(Away) 20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1 Tivoli
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0 Humble Lions
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0 Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2 Cavalier
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2 Tivoli
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1 Tivoli
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0 Tivoli
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2 Tivoli
27 Apr
Molynes United
2 : 0 Tivoli
22 Apr
Montego Bay
5 : 1 Tivoli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tru-Juice FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Montego Bay | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 3 | Waterhouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Cavalier | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Racing United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Tivoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Chapelton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Portmore | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Molynes United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Mount Pleasant | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Dunbeholden | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
