Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Treaty United vs Finn Harps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field, Limerick
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Brogan O.
44' Event
McLaughlin A.
45' Event
Feeney B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Treaty United and Finn Harps finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Treaty United
15%
Draws
21%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Treaty United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Treaty United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 16%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Finn Harps
2:1
Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
0:1
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Finn Harps
3:0
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Treaty United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Feeney B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Regan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer McLaughlin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 41 / 100
Finn Harps 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Treaty United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Finn Harps has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Finn Harps
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
09 Oct
Athlone
1 : 2
Treaty United
02 Oct
Treaty United
0 : 4
UC Dublin
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

Finn Harps

(Away)
09 Oct
Cork City
2 : 0
Finn Harps
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)