Sport Picks

Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field

Treaty United

2 - 1

Kerry

Our Tip

Match Events

Aladesanusi S.

35'

Murphy M.

36'

Murphy C.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Treaty United in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Treaty United

33%

Draws

40%

Kerry

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Treaty United have won more games recently than Kerry.
40% — that's where the model lands on Kerry taking it.
Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Treaty United Clean Sheet 18%

Kerry Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Treaty United	Kerry
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	9	9
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Division 1

Treaty United vs Kerry

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Apr 17, 2026 Division 1

Kerry vs Treaty United

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Mar 6, 2026 Division 1

Treaty United vs Kerry

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Jan 13, 2026 Club Friendly

Kerry vs Treaty United

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

2:4

Sep 26, 2025 Division 1

Kerry vs Treaty United

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyenuga J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lynch R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Kerry Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 28 / 100

Kerry 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Treaty United Kerry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Treaty United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Treaty United scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Kerry

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46:15	54
2	Bray	23	10	7	6	46:30	37
3	UC Dublin	23	11	3	9	36:27	36
4	Longford	23	8	7	8	27:30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25:32	31
6	Wexford	23	7	7	9	27:32	28
7	Athlone	23	7	6	10	21:27	27
8	Kerry	23	6	8	9	24:29	26
9	Treaty United	23	5	8	10	22:34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20:38	22